Snorlax [Reverse Holo] #118

Snorlax [Reverse Holo] #118

Pokemon BREAKthrough · #118 · 2015

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals207% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+92% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$13

Fair Value

$40

FV Gap

+207%

Our model estimates fair value at $40, suggesting this card is 207% undervalued at $13. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +92% over the next 12 months. Only 7 PSA 10s exist out of 96 graded (8.3% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$13
Fair Value$40(+207%)
12-Mo Price Target$25(+91%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$2,275
Implied Grade 10 FV$4,864(+114%)
Grading Premium173.5x raw price
Gem Rate8.3%(96 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread31.6x(9 at $72)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$13
Rarity+$12
Character+$8
Set+$3
Artwork+$2
Nostalgia$-1
Fair Value$40

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2
5
2
6
6
7
9
8
25
9
25
10
7
Total Graded: 76Gem Rate: 9.2%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
3
7
1
8
11
9
4
10
1
Total Graded: 20Gem Rate: 5.0%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$131.0x
Grade 7$302.3x
Grade 8$614.7x
PSA 10$2,275avg last 3175.4x
Grade 9$72avg last 35.6x
Grade 9.5$3,000231.3x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting