Pikachu EX #XY174
Pokemon Promo · #XY174 · 2013
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals196% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+84% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $31, suggesting this card is 196% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +84% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$10
Fair Value$31(+196%)
12-Mo Price Target$19(+81%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$1,005
Implied Grade 10 FV$2,979(+196%)
Grading Premium95.9x raw price
Grade 10/9 Spread10.4x(9 at $97)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Rarity | +$7 |
| Character | +$6 |
| Card Type | +$5 |
| Other | +$5 |
| Artwork | +$3 |
| Set | +$2 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $31 |
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $8 | 0.8x |
| Grade 3 | $9 | 0.9x |
| Grade 4 | $10 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $10 | 1.0x |
| Grade 5 | $12 | 1.2x |
| Ungraded | $14 | 1.0x |
| Grade 6 | $15 | 1.5x |
| Grade 7 | $18 | 1.8x |
| Grade 8 | $33 | 3.2x |
| Grade 8 | $36 | 3.5x |
| Grade 1 | $50 | 4.9x |
| Grade 9 | $97avg last 3 | 9.5x |
| Grade 9.5 | $116 | 11.4x |
| CGC 10 | $130 | 12.7x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $234 | 22.9x |
| SGC 10 | $281 | 27.5x |
| PSA 10 | $1,005avg 2 | 98.3x |
| BGS 10 | $608 | 59.5x |
| PSA 10 | $1,005avg 2 | 98.3x |
| BGS 10 Black | $3,040 | 297.5x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting