Snorlax GX #SM05
Pokemon Promo · #SM05 · 2016
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals167% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+114% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $27, suggesting this card is 167% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +114% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$10
Fair Value$27(+167%)
12-Mo Price Target$21(+110%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$767
Implied Grade 10 FV$1,148(+50%)
Grading Premium76.7x raw price
Gem Rate18.2%(1,144 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread13.7x(9 at $56)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$7 |
| Rarity | +$6 |
| Card Type | +$4 |
| Other | +$3 |
| Artwork | +$3 |
| Set | +$2 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $27 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
5
2
3
3
7
4
18
5
56
6
56
7
92
8
265
9
434
10
208
Total Graded: 1,144Gem Rate: 18.2%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $8 | 0.7x |
| Grade 3 | $9 | 0.8x |
| Grade 4 | $11 | 0.9x |
| Ungraded | $12 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $12 | 1.0x |
| Grade 5 | $14 | 1.2x |
| Grade 6 | $17 | 1.4x |
| Grade 7 | $24 | 2.0x |
| Grade 7 | $24 | 2.0x |
| Grade 8 | $30 | 2.5x |
| Grade 9 | $56avg last 3 | 4.7x |
| Grade 9 | $56avg last 3 | 4.7x |
| CGC 10 | $100 | 8.3x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $180 | 15.0x |
| Grade 9.5 | $285 | 23.8x |
| Grade 9.5 | $285 | 23.8x |
| SGC 10 | $297 | 24.8x |
| PSA 10 | $767avg last 3 | 64.0x |
| BGS 10 | $643 | 53.6x |
| PSA 10 | $767avg last 3 | 64.0x |
| BGS 10 Black | $3,215 | 268.1x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting