![Typhlosion [Reverse Holo] #42](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/178845_200w.jpg)
Typhlosion [Reverse Holo] #42
Pokemon Lost Thunder · #42 · 2018
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals165% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+98% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $27, suggesting this card is 165% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +98% over the next 12 months. Only 3 PSA 10s exist out of 113 graded (16.8% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.
Value Thesis
Market Price$10
Fair Value$27(+165%)
12-Mo Price Target$20(+94%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$183
Implied Grade 10 FV$280(+53%)
Grading Premium17.8x raw price
Gem Rate16.8%(113 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread7.6x(9 at $24)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Other | +$9 |
| Rarity | +$9 |
| Character | +$3 |
| Set | +$2 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $27 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
1
6
1
7
3
8
5
9
9
10
3
Total Graded: 22Gem Rate: 13.6%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
3
7
9
8
32
9
31
10
16
Total Graded: 91Gem Rate: 17.6%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $3 | 0.3x |
| Grade 3 | $3 | 0.3x |
| Grade 4 | $4 | 0.4x |
| Grade 5 | $5 | 0.5x |
| Grade 6 | $7 | 0.6x |
| Ungraded | $10 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $10 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $16 | 1.6x |
| Grade 8 | $20 | 1.9x |
| Grade 7 | $23 | 2.2x |
| PSA 10 | $183avg last 3 | 17.9x |
| Grade 8 | $25 | 2.4x |
| Grade 9 | $24avg last 3 | 2.3x |
| Grade 9 | $24avg last 3 | 2.3x |
| Grade 9.5 | $55 | 5.4x |
| SGC 10 | $132 | 12.9x |
| CGC 10 | $176 | 17.2x |
| PSA 10 | $183avg last 3 | 17.9x |
| Grade 9.5 | $265 | 25.8x |
| BGS 10 | $287 | 28.0x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $317 | 30.9x |
| BGS 10 Black | $1,435 | 140.0x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting