Mew [Reverse Holo] #76

Mew [Reverse Holo] #76

Pokemon Unbroken Bonds · #76 · 2019

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals174% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+104% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$11

Fair Value

$30

FV Gap

+174%

Our model estimates fair value at $30, suggesting this card is 174% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +104% over the next 12 months. Only 39 PSA 10s exist out of 163 graded (31.3% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$11
Fair Value$30(+174%)
12-Mo Price Target$22(+101%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$132
Implied Grade 10 FV$170(+29%)
Grading Premium12.0x raw price
Gem Rate31.3%(163 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread4.9x(9 at $27)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$9
Rarity+$9
Character+$8
Set+$2
Nostalgia$-2
Fair Value$30

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
4
8
17
9
54
10
39
Total Graded: 114Gem Rate: 34.2%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
7
0
8
16
9
20
10
12
Total Graded: 49Gem Rate: 24.5%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$121.0x
Grade 7$201.6x
PSA 10$132avg last 310.6x
Grade 8$292.3x
Grade 9$27avg last 32.2x
Grade 9.5$604.8x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting