![Gengar [Reverse Holo] #85](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/208393_200w.jpg)
Gengar [Reverse Holo] #85
Pokemon Sword & Shield · #85 · 2020
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals217% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+73% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $33, suggesting this card is 217% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +73% over the next 12 months. Only 36 PSA 10s exist out of 210 graded (23.8% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.
Value Thesis
Market Price$10
Fair Value$33(+217%)
12-Mo Price Target$18(+72%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$426
Implied Grade 10 FV$633(+49%)
Grading Premium40.6x raw price
Gem Rate23.8%(210 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread12.2x(9 at $35)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$11 |
| Rarity | +$10 |
| Other | +$9 |
| Set | +$2 |
| Nostalgia | $-2 |
| Card Type | $-1 |
| Artwork | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $33 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
7
13
8
19
9
61
10
36
Total Graded: 130Gem Rate: 27.7%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
0
6
0
7
5
8
29
9
31
10
14
Total Graded: 80Gem Rate: 17.5%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Ungraded | $13 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $18 | 1.4x |
| Grade 8 | $25 | 2.0x |
| Grade 9 | $35avg last 3 | 2.8x |
| Grade 9.5 | $39 | 3.1x |
| PSA 10 | $426avg last 3 | 33.5x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting