Umbreon VMAX #95
Pokemon Evolving Skies · #95 · 2021
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals152% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+118% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $58, suggesting this card is 152% undervalued at $23. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +118% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$23
Fair Value$58(+152%)
12-Mo Price Target$50(+119%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$141
Implied Grade 10 FV$163(+16%)
Grading Premium6.2x raw price
Gem Rate64.4%(8,340 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread3.5x(9 at $40)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$20 |
| Card Type | +$12 |
| Rarity | +$11 |
| Other | +$5 |
| Set | +$4 |
| Artwork | +$4 |
| Nostalgia | $-2 |
| Fair Value | $58 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
2
2
0
3
4
4
13
5
32
6
86
7
129
8
403
9
1,638
10
4,600
Total Graded: 6,907Gem Rate: 66.6%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
1
4
2
5
6
6
11
7
30
8
173
9
443
10
767
Total Graded: 1,433Gem Rate: 53.5%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $6 | 0.3x |
| Grade 3 | $7 | 0.3x |
| Grade 4 | $8 | 0.3x |
| Grade 5 | $9 | 0.4x |
| Grade 6 | $11 | 0.5x |
| Grade 7 | $14 | 0.6x |
| Grade 7 | $17 | 0.7x |
| Grade 8 | $20 | 0.9x |
| Ungraded | $23 | 1.0x |
| Grade 8 | $23 | 1.0x |
| Grade 9 | $40avg last 3 | 1.7x |
| Grade 9.5 | $33 | 1.4x |
| Grade 9 | $40avg last 3 | 1.7x |
| Grade 9.5 | $43 | 1.9x |
| SGC 10 | $57 | 2.5x |
| CGC 10 | $65 | 2.8x |
| ACE 10 | $91 | 4.0x |
| TAG 10 | $95 | 4.2x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $104 | 4.5x |
| PSA 10 | $141avg last 3 | 6.2x |
| BGS 10 | $142 | 6.2x |
| PSA 10 | $141avg last 3 | 6.2x |
| BGS 10 Black | $1,325 | 57.9x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting