Gengar V #156
Pokemon Fusion Strike · #156 · 2021
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals171% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+105% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $28, suggesting this card is 171% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +105% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$11
Fair Value$28(+171%)
12-Mo Price Target$22(+110%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$207
Implied Grade 10 FV$255(+23%)
Grading Premium19.7x raw price
Gem Rate39.0%(3,368 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread5.8x(9 at $36)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$13 |
| Rarity | +$8 |
| Other | +$3 |
| Set | +$3 |
| Nostalgia | $-2 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Fair Value | $28 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
3
2
2
3
2
4
9
5
6
6
18
7
30
8
272
9
1,263
10
924
Total Graded: 2,529Gem Rate: 36.5%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
4
6
4
7
18
8
100
9
324
10
389
Total Graded: 839Gem Rate: 46.4%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Ungraded | $10 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $19 | 1.8x |
| Grade 8 | $21 | 2.0x |
| Grade 9 | $36avg last 3 | 3.5x |
| Grade 9.5 | $39 | 3.8x |
| PSA 10 | $207avg last 3 | 20.0x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting