![Brock's Dugtrio [1st Edition] #22](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/83962_200w.jpg)
Brock's Dugtrio [1st Edition] #22
Pokemon Gym Challenge · #22 · 2000
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals168% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+99% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $41, suggesting this card is 168% undervalued at $15. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +99% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$15
Fair Value$41(+168%)
12-Mo Price Target$31(+102%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$301
Implied Grade 10 FV$387(+29%)
Grading Premium19.6x raw price
Gem Rate30.6%(480 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread9.4x(9 at $32)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$13 |
| Rarity | +$12 |
| Other | +$11 |
| Set | +$3 |
| Artwork | $-1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $41 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2
5
4
6
5
7
11
8
51
9
155
10
126
Total Graded: 354Gem Rate: 35.6%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
1
4
0
5
2
6
3
7
12
8
50
9
37
10
21
Total Graded: 126Gem Rate: 16.7%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 7 | $10 | 0.6x |
| Ungraded | $16 | 1.0x |
| Grade 8 | $18 | 1.1x |
| Grade 9 | $32avg last 3 | 2.0x |
| Grade 9.5 | $37 | 2.3x |
| PSA 10 | $301avg last 3 | 18.8x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting