Brock's Sandslash [1st Edition] #23

Brock's Sandslash [1st Edition] #23

Pokemon Gym Heroes · #23 · 2000

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals181% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+96% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$19

Fair Value

$53

FV Gap

+181%

Our model estimates fair value at $53, suggesting this card is 181% undervalued at $19. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +96% over the next 12 months. Only 14 PSA 10s exist out of 150 graded (16.7% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$19
Fair Value$53(+181%)
12-Mo Price Target$37(+94%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$38
Implied Grade 10 FV$60(+58%)
Grading Premium2.0x raw price
Gem Rate16.7%(150 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread1.6x(9 at $24)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Character+$17
Rarity+$15
Other+$13
Set+$4
Artwork+$1
Nostalgia$-1
Fair Value$53

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
1
3
0
4
0
5
4
6
4
7
4
8
26
9
35
10
14
Total Graded: 88Gem Rate: 15.9%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
3
6
5
7
10
8
17
9
15
10
11
Total Graded: 62Gem Rate: 17.7%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Grade 2$60.6x
Grade 3$70.7x
Grade 4$80.8x
Grade 5$90.9x
Ungraded$101.0x
Grade 6$111.1x
Grade 7$141.4x
Grade 7$161.6x
Ungraded$201.0x
Grade 8$202.0x
Grade 8$212.0x
SGC 10$222.1x
Grade 9$24avg last 32.3x
CGC 10$252.4x
Grade 9.5$252.4x
Grade 9$24avg last 32.3x
Grade 9.5$262.5x
PSA 10$38avg last 33.7x
CGC 10 Pristine$454.4x
BGS 10$484.7x
PSA 10$38avg last 33.7x
BGS 10 Black$24023.4x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting