![Dark Dugtrio [1st Edition] #23](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/84589_200w.jpg)
Dark Dugtrio [1st Edition] #23
Pokemon Team Rocket · #23 · 2000
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals182% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+103% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $35, suggesting this card is 182% undervalued at $12. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +103% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$12
Fair Value$35(+182%)
12-Mo Price Target$25(+100%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$306
Implied Grade 10 FV$458(+50%)
Grading Premium24.5x raw price
Gem Rate19.8%(1,658 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread6.8x(9 at $45)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Other | +$12 |
| Rarity | +$11 |
| Character | +$6 |
| Set | +$1 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Card Type | +$1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $35 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
1
2
2
3
5
4
11
5
17
6
32
7
71
8
238
9
621
10
267
Total Graded: 1,265Gem Rate: 21.1%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2
5
3
6
14
7
27
8
144
9
141
10
62
Total Graded: 393Gem Rate: 15.8%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $2 | 0.2x |
| Grade 3 | $8 | 0.6x |
| Grade 4 | $9 | 0.7x |
| Grade 5 | $10 | 0.8x |
| Grade 6 | $13 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $13 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $13 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $16 | 1.2x |
| Grade 8 | $23 | 1.7x |
| Grade 8 | $23 | 1.8x |
| Grade 9 | $45avg last 3 | 3.5x |
| Grade 9.5 | $35 | 2.7x |
| Grade 9 | $45avg last 3 | 3.5x |
| Grade 9.5 | $44 | 3.4x |
| CGC 10 | $76 | 5.8x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $115 | 8.8x |
| SGC 10 | $117 | 9.0x |
| PSA 10 | $306avg last 3 | 23.5x |
| BGS 10 | $254 | 19.5x |
| BGS 10 Black | $1,270 | 97.5x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting