![Deoxys [Reverse Holo] #1](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/84778_200w.jpg)
Deoxys [Reverse Holo] #1
Pokemon Legends Awakened · #1 · 2008
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals216% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+96% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $34, suggesting this card is 216% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +96% over the next 12 months. Only 3 PSA 10s exist out of 77 graded (5.2% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.
Value Thesis
Market Price$11
Fair Value$34(+216%)
12-Mo Price Target$21(+96%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
CGC 10 Price$399
Implied Grade 10 FV$987(+147%)
Grading Premium37.3x raw price
Gem Rate5.2%(77 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread3.5x(9 at $113)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Other | +$12 |
| Rarity | +$10 |
| Character | +$7 |
| Set | +$3 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $34 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
1
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
2
6
1
7
8
8
13
9
6
10
3
Total Graded: 35Gem Rate: 8.6%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
4
7
13
8
19
9
5
10
1
Total Graded: 42Gem Rate: 2.4%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Ungraded | $14 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $16 | 1.1x |
| Grade 8 | $22 | 1.6x |
| Grade 9 | $113avg last 3 | 8.1x |
| Grade 9.5 | $137 | 9.8x |
| CGC 10 | $3991 sale | 28.6x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting