![Elekid [1st Edition] #22](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/85168_200w.jpg)
Elekid [1st Edition] #22
Pokemon Neo Genesis · #22 · 2000
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals201% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+70% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $35, suggesting this card is 201% undervalued at $12. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +70% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$12
Fair Value$35(+201%)
12-Mo Price Target$20(+71%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$402
Implied Grade 10 FV$637(+58%)
Grading Premium34.3x raw price
Gem Rate18.6%(515 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread8.9x(9 at $45)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Rarity | +$11 |
| Other | +$10 |
| Character | +$8 |
| Set | +$2 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $35 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2
5
10
6
13
7
23
8
66
9
191
10
80
Total Graded: 385Gem Rate: 20.8%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
1
4
0
5
3
6
5
7
17
8
45
9
43
10
16
Total Graded: 130Gem Rate: 12.3%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $5 | 0.4x |
| Grade 3 | $5 | 0.4x |
| Grade 4 | $6 | 0.5x |
| Grade 5 | $7 | 0.5x |
| Grade 6 | $9 | 0.7x |
| Ungraded | $13 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $20 | 1.6x |
| Grade 8 | $25 | 1.9x |
| CGC 10 | $30 | 2.3x |
| Grade 9 | $45avg last 3 | 3.5x |
| Grade 9.5 | $42 | 3.2x |
| Grade 9.5 | $45 | 3.5x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $54 | 4.2x |
| SGC 10 | $95 | 7.3x |
| PSA 10 | $402avg last 3 | 30.9x |
| BGS 10 | $206 | 15.8x |
| PSA 10 | $402avg last 3 | 30.9x |
| BGS 10 Black | $1,030 | 79.2x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting