Feraligatr [Reverse Holo] #20

Feraligatr [Reverse Holo] #20

Pokemon HeartGold & SoulSilver · #20 · 2010

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals149% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+118% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$11

Fair Value

$27

FV Gap

+149%

Our model estimates fair value at $27, suggesting this card is 149% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +118% over the next 12 months. No PSA 10s exist among 42 graded copies — a gem mint would be the first.

Value Thesis

Market Price$11
Fair Value$27(+149%)
12-Mo Price Target$23(+115%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

Grade 10 Price$90
Implied Grade 10 FV$225(+150%)
Grading Premium8.4x raw price
Gem Rate0.0%(42 graded)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$9
Rarity+$8
Character+$3
Set+$2
Artwork+$1
Nostalgia$-1
Fair Value$27

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
7
5
8
12
9
6
10
0
Total Graded: 24Gem Rate: 0.0%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
7
3
8
7
9
7
10
0
Total Graded: 18Gem Rate: 0.0%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Grade 7$130.9x
Ungraded$141.0x
PSA 10$90est.6.2x
Grade 8$906.2x
Grade 9$84avg 25.8x
Grade 9.5$24216.7x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting