![Koga's Arbok [1st Edition] #25](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/86504_200w.jpg)
Koga's Arbok [1st Edition] #25
Pokemon Gym Challenge · #25 · 2000
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals231% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+126% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $41, suggesting this card is 231% undervalued at $12. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +126% over the next 12 months.
Value Thesis
Market Price$12
Fair Value$41(+231%)
12-Mo Price Target$28(+125%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$169
Implied Grade 10 FV$230(+36%)
Grading Premium13.6x raw price
Gem Rate33.3%(468 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread4.3x(9 at $39)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Rarity | +$12 |
| Character | +$12 |
| Other | +$11 |
| Set | +$3 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $41 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
2
6
3
7
12
8
50
9
164
10
127
Total Graded: 358Gem Rate: 35.5%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
1
6
2
7
5
8
35
9
37
10
29
Total Graded: 110Gem Rate: 26.4%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 3 | $4 | 0.3x |
| Grade 2 | $4 | 0.3x |
| Grade 4 | $5 | 0.4x |
| Grade 5 | $6 | 0.4x |
| Grade 6 | $7 | 0.5x |
| Grade 7 | $8 | 0.6x |
| Ungraded | $14 | 1.0x |
| Ungraded | $15 | 1.0x |
| Grade 8 | $21 | 1.5x |
| CGC 10 | $32 | 2.3x |
| Grade 9 | $39avg last 3 | 2.9x |
| Grade 9 | $39avg last 3 | 2.9x |
| Grade 9.5 | $37 | 2.7x |
| Grade 9.5 | $38 | 2.8x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $58 | 4.3x |
| SGC 10 | $120 | 8.8x |
| PSA 10 | $169avg last 3 | 12.4x |
| BGS 10 | $259 | 19.0x |
| BGS 10 Black | $1,295 | 95.1x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting