Latios [Reverse Holo] #23

Latios [Reverse Holo] #23

Pokemon Great Encounters · #23 · 2008

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals155% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+133% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$10

Fair Value

$26

FV Gap

+155%

Our model estimates fair value at $26, suggesting this card is 155% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +133% over the next 12 months. Only 22 PSA 10s exist out of 103 graded (27.2% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$10
Fair Value$26(+155%)
12-Mo Price Target$24(+136%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$1,182
Implied Grade 10 FV$1,536(+30%)
Grading Premium116.3x raw price
Gem Rate27.2%(103 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread21.9x(9 at $54)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$10
Rarity+$8
Character+$4
Set+$2
Nostalgia$-1
Artwork$-1
Card Type+$1
Fair Value$26

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
3
7
3
8
20
9
26
10
22
Total Graded: 74Gem Rate: 29.7%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
1
6
1
7
5
8
10
9
6
10
6
Total Graded: 29Gem Rate: 20.7%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$141.0x
Grade 7$241.8x
Grade 8$614.4x
PSA 10$1,182avg last 385.3x
Grade 9$54avg last 33.9x
Grade 9.5$95068.5x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting