Ledyba [Reverse Holo] #53

Ledyba [Reverse Holo] #53

Pokemon Dragon Frontiers · #53 · 2006

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals150% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+110% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$10

Fair Value

$26

FV Gap

+150%

Our model estimates fair value at $26, suggesting this card is 150% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +110% over the next 12 months. Only 11 PSA 10s exist out of 225 graded (14.7% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$10
Fair Value$26(+150%)
12-Mo Price Target$22(+113%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

CGC 10 Price$83
Implied Grade 10 FV$129(+55%)
Grading Premium8.0x raw price
Gem Rate14.7%(225 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread1.1x(9 at $74)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$10
Rarity+$9
Character+$4
Artwork$-1
Set+$1
Nostalgia$-1
Fair Value$26

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
2
7
10
8
28
9
58
10
11
Total Graded: 109Gem Rate: 10.1%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
3
6
10
7
15
8
21
9
44
10
22
Total Graded: 116Gem Rate: 19.0%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$101.0x
Grade 7$111.1x
Grade 8$202.0x
Grade 9$74avg last 37.4x
Grade 9.5$717.1x
CGC 10$83avg last 38.3x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting