Misty's Cloyster [1st Edition] #29

Misty's Cloyster [1st Edition] #29

Pokemon Gym Heroes · #29 · 2000

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals171% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+116% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$18

Fair Value

$50

FV Gap

+171%

Our model estimates fair value at $50, suggesting this card is 171% undervalued at $18. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +116% over the next 12 months. Only 17 PSA 10s exist out of 177 graded (14.7% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$18
Fair Value$50(+171%)
12-Mo Price Target$39(+114%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$257
Implied Grade 10 FV$418(+63%)
Grading Premium14.1x raw price
Gem Rate14.7%(177 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread4.7x(9 at $55)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Character+$17
Rarity+$14
Other+$12
Set+$3
Nostalgia$-1
Artwork+$1
Fair Value$50

Grading Population

PSA
1
2
2
1
3
0
4
0
5
1
6
2
7
8
8
31
9
44
10
17
Total Graded: 106Gem Rate: 16.0%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
1
6
9
7
9
8
22
9
20
10
9
Total Graded: 71Gem Rate: 12.7%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Grade 3$40.4x
Grade 2$40.4x
Grade 4$50.4x
Grade 5$60.5x
Grade 6$80.7x
Grade 7$100.9x
Grade 7$111.0x
Ungraded$111.0x
Grade 8$141.2x
Grade 8$201.8x
Ungraded$211.0x
Grade 9$55avg last 34.9x
Grade 9.5$262.3x
SGC 10$282.5x
Grade 9$55avg last 34.9x
CGC 10$373.2x
Grade 9.5$383.4x
PSA 10$257avg last 322.8x
BGS 10$625.5x
CGC 10 Pristine$665.9x
PSA 10$257avg last 322.8x
BGS 10 Black$31027.6x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting