![Misty's Poliwrath [1st Edition] #31](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/87538_200w.jpg)
Misty's Poliwrath [1st Edition] #31
Pokemon Gym Heroes · #31 · 2000
STRONG BUY
Fundamentals208% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+143% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating
Our model estimates fair value at $66, suggesting this card is 208% undervalued at $21. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +143% over the next 12 months. Only 21 PSA 10s exist out of 215 graded (13.5% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.
Value Thesis
Market Price$21
Fair Value$66(+208%)
12-Mo Price Target$52(+144%)
MomentumTrending Up
Gem Thesis
PSA 10 Price$212
Implied Grade 10 FV$385(+82%)
Grading Premium9.9x raw price
Gem Rate13.5%(215 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread3.1x(9 at $68)
Price History
Price History
Fair Value Breakdown
| Base (avg card) | $3 |
| Character | +$24 |
| Rarity | +$18 |
| Other | +$15 |
| Set | +$5 |
| Artwork | +$1 |
| Nostalgia | $-1 |
| Fair Value | $66 |
Grading Population
PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
3
5
4
6
10
7
13
8
28
9
61
10
21
Total Graded: 140Gem Rate: 15.0%
CGC
1
0
2
1
3
0
4
4
5
5
6
4
7
13
8
20
9
20
10
8
Total Graded: 75Gem Rate: 10.7%
Grade Prices
| Grade | Price | Premium |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 2 | $5 | 0.3x |
| Grade 3 | $6 | 0.3x |
| Grade 4 | $7 | 0.4x |
| Grade 5 | $8 | 0.4x |
| Grade 6 | $10 | 0.5x |
| Ungraded | $20 | 1.0x |
| Grade 8 | $20 | 1.0x |
| Grade 7 | $22 | 1.1x |
| Grade 9 | $68avg last 3 | 3.4x |
| Grade 9.5 | $26 | 1.3x |
| Grade 8 | $28 | 1.4x |
| SGC 10 | $44 | 2.2x |
| Grade 9 | $68avg last 3 | 3.4x |
| CGC 10 | $59 | 3.0x |
| Grade 9.5 | $64 | 3.2x |
| BGS 10 | $95 | 4.8x |
| CGC 10 Pristine | $106 | 5.3x |
| PSA 10 | $212avg last 3 | 10.6x |
| BGS 10 Black | $475 | 23.8x |
Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.
Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting