Piplup [Reverse Holo] #71

Piplup [Reverse Holo] #71

Pokemon Majestic Dawn · #71 · 2008

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals212% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+84% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$12

Fair Value

$36

FV Gap

+212%

Our model estimates fair value at $36, suggesting this card is 212% undervalued at $12. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +84% over the next 12 months. Only 2 PSA 10s exist out of 82 graded (4.9% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$12
Fair Value$36(+212%)
12-Mo Price Target$21(+81%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

CGC 10 Price$100
Implied Grade 10 FV$248(+148%)
Grading Premium8.6x raw price
Gem Rate4.9%(82 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread3.3x(9 at $30)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$13
Rarity+$11
Character+$6
Set+$2
Artwork+$1
Nostalgia$-1
Fair Value$36

Grading Population

PSA
1
3
2
0
3
2
4
0
5
3
6
5
7
10
8
20
9
15
10
2
Total Graded: 60Gem Rate: 3.3%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
1
4
0
5
2
6
1
7
3
8
8
9
5
10
2
Total Graded: 22Gem Rate: 9.1%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$131.0x
Grade 7$201.5x
Grade 8$251.9x
Grade 9$30avg 22.3x
Grade 9.5$332.5x
CGC 10$1001 sale7.6x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting