Raichu [Reverse Holo] #33

Raichu [Reverse Holo] #33

Pokemon Undaunted · #33 · 2010

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals210% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+107% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$10

Fair Value

$31

FV Gap

+210%

Our model estimates fair value at $31, suggesting this card is 210% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +107% over the next 12 months. Only 1 PSA 10 exist out of 69 graded (2.9% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$10
Fair Value$31(+210%)
12-Mo Price Target$21(+110%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

Grade 10 Price$14
Implied Grade 10 FV$38(+171%)
Grading Premium1.4x raw price
Gem Rate2.9%(69 graded)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$12
Rarity+$9
Character+$3
Artwork+$2
Set+$2
Nostalgia$-1
Card Type+$0
Fair Value$31

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
7
6
8
18
9
11
10
1
Total Graded: 37Gem Rate: 2.7%
CGC
1
0
2
1
3
1
4
1
5
0
6
1
7
3
8
15
9
9
10
1
Total Graded: 32Gem Rate: 3.1%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$101.0x
Grade 7$121.1x
PSA 10$14est.1.4x
Grade 8$141.4x
Grade 9$32avg last 33.2x
Grade 9.5$17217.2x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting