Sabrina's Gastly [1st Edition] #97

Sabrina's Gastly [1st Edition] #97

Pokemon Gym Challenge · #97 · 2000

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals236% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+82% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$11

Fair Value

$36

FV Gap

+236%

Our model estimates fair value at $36, suggesting this card is 236% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +82% over the next 12 months.

Value Thesis

Market Price$11
Fair Value$36(+236%)
12-Mo Price Target$20(+85%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$510
Implied Grade 10 FV$709(+39%)
Grading Premium47.2x raw price
Gem Rate31.4%(703 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread6.5x(9 at $78)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$14
Rarity+$10
Character+$6
Set+$2
Card Type+$1
Artwork+$1
Nostalgia$-0
Fair Value$36

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
1
3
1
4
0
5
3
6
5
7
23
8
85
9
214
10
173
Total Graded: 505Gem Rate: 34.3%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
2
5
2
6
6
7
15
8
54
9
71
10
48
Total Graded: 198Gem Rate: 24.2%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$141.0x
Grade 7$362.5x
Grade 8$412.9x
Grade 9$78avg last 35.5x
Grade 9.5$886.2x
PSA 10$510avg last 336.0x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting