Undersea Ruins [Reverse Holo] #138

Undersea Ruins [Reverse Holo] #138

Pokemon Aquapolis · #138 · 2003

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals204% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+83% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$10

Fair Value

$30

FV Gap

+204%

Our model estimates fair value at $30, suggesting this card is 204% undervalued at $10. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +83% over the next 12 months. Only 8 PSA 10s exist out of 79 graded (15.2% gem rate), making gem copies exceptionally scarce.

Value Thesis

Market Price$10
Fair Value$30(+204%)
12-Mo Price Target$18(+80%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$163
Implied Grade 10 FV$280(+72%)
Grading Premium16.3x raw price
Gem Rate15.2%(79 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread3.8x(9 at $43)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Other+$12
Rarity+$10
Character+$4
Set+$1
Card Type+$1
Artwork$-1
Nostalgia$-0
Fair Value$30

Grading Population

PSA
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
0
5
3
6
2
7
3
8
14
9
22
10
8
Total Graded: 52Gem Rate: 15.4%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
1
5
1
6
1
7
1
8
8
9
11
10
4
Total Graded: 27Gem Rate: 14.8%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Grade 7$100.7x
Grade 8$130.9x
Ungraded$151.0x
Grade 9$43avg last 32.9x
Grade 9.5$443.0x
PSA 10$163avg last 311.2x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting