Venusaur [Holo] #20

Venusaur [Holo] #20

Pokemon Secret Wonders · #20

STRONG BUY
Fundamentals181% Undervalued
OvervaluedFair ValueUndervalued
Momentum+98% Expected
DecliningFlatAppreciating

Market Price

$11

Fair Value

$32

FV Gap

+181%

Our model estimates fair value at $32, suggesting this card is 181% undervalued at $11. Momentum is strong — the temporal model projects +98% over the next 12 months. No PSA 10s exist among 287 graded copies — a gem mint would be the first.

Value Thesis

Market Price$11
Fair Value$32(+181%)
12-Mo Price Target$23(+100%)
MomentumTrending Up

Gem Thesis

PSA 10 Price$1,673
Implied Grade 10 FV$4,407(+163%)
Grading Premium145.6x raw price
Gem Rate1.4%(287 graded)
Grade 10/9 Spread6.9x(9 at $244)

Price History

Price History

Fair Value Breakdown

Base (avg card)$3
Rarity+$10
Other+$10
Character+$6
Set+$2
Nostalgia$-1
Artwork+$1
Fair Value$32

Grading Population

PSA
1
1
2
0
3
0
4
5
5
9
6
16
7
13
8
43
9
24
10
0
Total Graded: 111Gem Rate: 0.0%
CGC
1
0
2
0
3
4
4
5
5
8
6
14
7
36
8
78
9
27
10
4
Total Graded: 176Gem Rate: 2.3%

Grade Prices

GradePricePremium
Ungraded$161.0x
Grade 7$402.5x
Grade 8$623.9x
Grade 9$244avg last 315.3x
Grade 9.5$23714.8x
PSA 10$1,673avg last 3104.6x

Prices from PriceCharting estimates. Verify on eBay for live market data.

Data sourced from PriceCharting and TCGPlayer. Fair value computed via LOGO-CV machine learning model. Ratings updated monthly. View on PriceCharting